Dolly looks to be going a little farther south than anticipated. I have put very little time into forecasting, but one thing that makes me think this (besides current track) is that the heaviest convection is all on the south side of the circulation. Hurricanes tend to wobble in the direction of the heaviest convection, which means Dolly is likely to keep cheating south a little. I wish I was there, but I'm going to hold off until we get a major hurricane. Hopefully that will happen. I still think this will be a big year for hurricanes so I' m optimistic.