Well that’s a tricky little forecast. The NAM now has 700mb temps down to 10C all along the dryline and is showing scattered precip all along it down into Oklahoma.

I am going to head north towards I70. I would like to get on a storm that fires in the I70 corridor along the dryline for a few reasons. It appears to have the best overlay of instability and SRH just northeast of there. I’ve liked that link kink bulge in the dryline for the last several runs and it’s right along I70 as well.

I gotta swing through Emporia and pick a guy up and then we’ll probably hit I70 and check everything out. Actually we have internet in the car so we should know whats going on. LCL’s were pretty damn high when I looked at forecast soundings this morning, but after just glancing at a map on wxcaster they weren’t that bad if storms can fire early enough to get east into the upper 60 dewpoints. I think I have about a 40% chance at best of seeing a tornado, I just really want to get out there and see a good supercell.

The one huge thing that bothers me and always does is veering 850mb flow. I absolutely hate that. It always screws up the tornado potential. If 850′s were backed tomorrow I would think I was in business. Veering 850′s will chop my confidence level down about 75% so now I think my chances of seeing a tornado are about 15%. I would like to pick up on a storm going up just south of I70 where 850′s back slightly more.

Screw it. I’ll take what I can get. I will see you all out there tomorrow. I’ll be the one wearing a bannana hammock (speedo)and a cowboy hat if you want to say hi. I’m going to try to get a little sun on my thighs in this 90 degree weather. If I start catching any odd looks or people think its in poor form to wear a speedo like that I have a back up pair of plum smugglers from when my dad used to coach softball. That will cover a little more thigh, but not much.