Monthly Archives: April 2015

Forecast Update

I’m playing softball tonight so I haven’t looked at much, but I did just glance over the GFS between games. If anything the GFS has sped up the southern stream trough for the middle of next week with stronger SW … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

No changes to the going extended forecast so see the previous post for details. Just glanced over the GFS, GEFS and ECMWF. The GFS continues to hold steady with a southern stream trough just starting to nose into the plains … Continue reading

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Extended Forecast

Looks like a slow week ahead for severe weather in the plains, but things should start to pick up again next week. Over the next several days the cutoff low that brought large hail and tornadoes to Texas this weekend … Continue reading

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Today

Just a few quick thoughts listed in the map on today’s setup. Tricky little bastard with a lead impulse kicking off crapvection this morning and trying to figure out how that will play into the potential for tornadoes this afternoon. … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

I have been glancing over the GFS, ECMWF and GEFS spaghetti charts and although they aren’t showing anything major, I want to see another couple runs before I say much about what is coming up. I just got burned by … Continue reading

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Today

¬†Only spent about 10 minutes forecasting, so take it for what it’s worth, but I wanted to get something up on today’s setup. I thought about chasing, but it’s just not that good of a setup for the drive I’d … Continue reading

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Stream is Live

http://www.chasertv.com/stationmaps/KWCH/player.php?stream=8675444 Tornado watch 102 has been issued for Kansas. I just turned my stream on and the link is above. Sitting west of Hutch getting ready to move west and northwest a little farther. Storms should start up this way … Continue reading

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Update

Don’t have much time because we need to hit the road. The storms in Oklahoma and cloud cover are fucking up my universe. If we had clear skies today there would have been a tornado outbreak in KS/OK/TX, but that … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

edit – I just posted and noticed I should have drug the tornado threat area out a little farther east, especially to account for the discrepancy with the GFS being farther east, but those areas I outlined should cover about … Continue reading

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Friday April 24 Forecast

Well it’s kind of a tale of two models tonight as there are significant differences between the NAM and GFS. The spread with the location of surface features is bad enough, with the NAM being farther SW than the GFS, … Continue reading

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