Monthly Archives: May 2015

Extended Forecast

I just glanced over the models briefly so confidence is somewhat low in the extended forecast at this point, but I’ll firm it up tomorrow with a little more detailed look at the models. The next chance for tornadoes will … Continue reading

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Update

im not chasing today and didn’t get home till late last night so no forecast for today. I didn’t think the tornado potential looked as good as yesterday and I have a lot to do at work so I’ll sit … Continue reading

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Update

almost to DDC now. Flying solo today so not much typing time. Towers are going up west of DDC that are still struggling with the cap. Only a matter of time until they get going. I have no idea where … Continue reading

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May 27 Forecast

Tomorrow is actually looking like it could be a decent chase day. Good thing because after watching the HP beast in Texas tonight on radar I’m ready to get out. Just got the cameras plugged in to charge so I should be … Continue reading

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Extended Forecast

Well I just glanced over the ECMWF, GFS and GEFS. It’s not looking good if you are in the plains for tornadoes over the next 10 days or so (insert whatever period of time you trust the models out to). … Continue reading

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Today

Just got home from an uneventful chase. Headed up to the Salina area and sat there for a bit. Jumped on the storm that went tornado warned to our southeast north of  McPherson. Really nothing impressive at all. It was … Continue reading

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Update

Maybe some low end potential tomorrow in Kansas. Weak mid level winds and consequently weak deep layer shear will be a big limiting factor. With strong CAPE and a little bit of low level shear maybe we can eek out … Continue reading

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Update

Well tough call on whether or not to chase tomorrow. For me it would be about an 8 hour drive to hit my target area. That would mean I need to leave town by about 5-6am tomorrow to make sure … Continue reading

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Update

i had softball tonight so I only glanced at the GFS after I got home.  The 12Z GFS shows the trough absolutely shitting the bed Saturday morning and 500mb winds are only in the 35kt range Saturday afternoon. Sooo, the … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

Looks like there were quite a few tornadoes today. Most of them look weak and a lot were rain wrapped, but a lot of reports none the less. That’s what happens in May and it’s why you chase whenever you can … Continue reading

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