we decided to play the west central Oklahoma target today. We are almost to Elk City now. The lead storm coming out of the panhandle is already tornado warned but it’s also struggling to stay discrete with cells off its south end. As that storm and the ones south of it move into SW Oklahoma low level shear and moisture will become increasingly supportive of tornadic storms. Any discrete storms will pose a strong tornado threat. Convective evolution and how discrete storms can remain through the afternoon will likely have the biggest influence on how bad the tornado threat will be for this area. Further north morning storms have compromised moisture quality/instability will be the limiting factor up there. I will be on a storm soon so no more posts here but I’ll put pics up on Facebook and Twitter through the day

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