Monthly Archives: May 2015

Extended Forecast

Well I made a forecast map in powerpoint and exported it as a JPEG file, but for some reason the map won’t upload. I tired of messing with it and I don’t want to jump on my home pc, so … Continue reading

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Update

Sorry for the lack of nowcasting information yesterday, but I was driving and there wasn’t ever much idle time for me to post. Even when I have friends chasing with me I drive a lot more now. Ever since the … Continue reading

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Update

we decided to play the west central Oklahoma target today. We are almost to Elk City now. The lead storm coming out of the panhandle is already tornado warned but it’s also struggling to stay discrete with cells off its … Continue reading

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Not a whole lot of changes to the going forecast. Still looks like a potential tornado outbreak with a strong tornado threat tomorrow afternoon in the central plains with morning storms and/or convective evolution possibly affecting the location and extent … Continue reading

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Update

I’m going to wait to see the 00Z NAM run before posting my forecast for tomorrow. The NAM continues to want to put a big bullseye on west central Oklahoma, with pretty impressive paramaters continuing into south central Kansas. I … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

It looks like no chasing for Mikey today. The HRRR has a whole lot of nothing coming off the dryline in Kansas today. I have other things I need to get done so I think I’ll sit this one out … Continue reading

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May 15th and 16th Forecast

Only a few changes to the going forecast (see previous posts for more detail). The NAM has hinted at it off and on for several days and now it is looking like a wide moisture gradient along northern portions of … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

I’m hitting the sack, but wanted to get some maps posted real quick first with a few forecast notes. Generally speaking my previous thoughts still stand, especially with regards to Saturday and morning precipitation and backing mid/upper level winds┬ábeing the … Continue reading

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May 15-16 Forecast

Above is my best guess at where the threat area will be on Friday and Saturday. There is still a fair amount of spread among the models regarding the exact target area, especially for Friday, so except that threat area … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

I need to get some work done at home for a meeting tomorrow morning so I’m not going to post a full forecast tonight. Just a few quick thoughts. I glanced over the last several runs of the GFS and … Continue reading

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