Monthly Archives: May 2016

Forecast Update

Just glancing over model data as I wait on my car getting it’s 10k maintenance done. I’m still waiting on the 12Z GFS to update, but no real changes to locations from my previous map from what I’ve seen so … Continue reading

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Extended Forecast

Above is a very rough map showing the best tornado threat area for Sunday, and the general threat areas for Monday-Friday. I’m a tornado chaser first and foremost, so I tried to draw those boxes where I could see tornado … Continue reading

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Today

I am on the road now. Just went through Greensburg and am headed towards the Stratford, TX area. If you believe the HRRR, then it’s leaving very little doubt about where to go today. It has been extremely consistent in … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

This is going to be about as short as I make forecast posts. I literally have only taken 10 minutes to look at the models tonight, so don’t put much stock in this. I think I know how I’ll play … Continue reading

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Update

Sorry for the silence. I am giving a talk at a school Tuesday morning and as is typical I put off getting my shit together until the last minute lol. I’ve been working on it since like 9am this morning … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

The models are absolutely killing me. Still a fair amount of uncertainty with details surrounding Monday. Normally I wouldn’t care this far out, but I’m supposed to go talk to kids at a school so knowing at least the location … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

No map tonight. I just now sat down for my nightly screw off time. It seems like during the week I have little to no time for forecasting or laying around. I usually work until 5:30-6:30, then I’ve been trying … Continue reading

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Update

just gassed up in coldwater where the DOW’s were hanging out. We are dropping south to keep the developing storm by Woodward in play. Still a little unsure of where the best storms will come off, but going off cu … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

Above is an updated map. Not much change to the going forecast other than I think dewpoints will be in the low 60’s this afternoon which will temper the tornado threat a bit from what the NAM has been forecasting. … Continue reading

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Sunday May 8th Tornado Forecast

Higher end severe weather event and potential tornado outbreak still seems on track for Sunday, with moisture return still looking to be the big question mark with this one. I’m going to keep this short, but the going forecast still … Continue reading

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