You can’t pay much attention to any given model run, but the model trend over the last day is to lean more towards a trough digging south across the Rockies as we approach next weekend. That’s a good thing if you are wanting storms and tornadoes in the plains. If you look at the specific details with the GFS there are certainly issues with the setup that it’s portraying for next weekend (prospect of no surface based storms being one of them lol), but it would be stupid to pay any mind to those details at this point, especially since this is a pretty recent trend that has really just started evolving over the last 24 hours. Hopefully the trend continues and we get a stronger, deeper trough that is taking on more of a neutral to negative tilt. As it looks now, it is nothing to be too excited about, but it could possibly give us a chase opportunity or two next weekend. I glanced at the ECMWF. I can only get base products with that from pivotal weather, but going off the upper air pattern it seems to be in general agreement with the GFS as far as the trough goes for next Friday-Saturday. Soooo, there is at least something to watch for the time being.
Ole Mikey needs to lay down on the couch and watch a movie, so I’m not taking it any further than that tonight. Short and sweet. I’ll be keeping a close eye on the models so I’ll probably update most days coming up. Check back if you’re interested.