Monthly Archives: March 2019

3/29 Forecast Update

It doesn’t look good. That pretty much sums it up. The trend south has continued. The NAM has the triple point down in Texas now and that’s about the only place you get decent instability. Still there is quite a … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

I saw SPC hoisted the day 4 risk area, which was a lot farther south than previous runs of the GFS. Last night’s 00Z and this mornings 6Z have slid the triple point farther south down I35, with it setting … Continue reading

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Friday 5/29/18 Forecast

I’ve been keeping a close eye on the setup for this Friday. The trough has continuously slowed down over the past week with the GFS (originally it was showing the trough Tuesday, then slowed down to Thursday), but the timing … Continue reading

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Today

Been glancing over data and looks like we got a big turd sandwich on tap for today. Overnight convection has bit the warm sector pretty hard. Dewpoints in the mid 50’s are still way down south in Texas. I can’t … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

I’m not going to get into much tonight. I went out to dinner tonight with some other chasers from Wichita, which was a lot of fun. It’s always good to see those guys and shoot the shit. It seems like … Continue reading

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Extended Forecast

I had to jump over to pivotal weather tonight and check out the ECMWF because the GFS showed some major changes with the 500mb pattern from yesterday’s 12Z through today’s 18Z. It has been trending towards having the lead trough … Continue reading

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First Post of 2019

It’s my favorite time of year again. Whether you go off March 1st or 15th start date for tornado season, it’s here. I’ve been checking the models daily for a few weeks now, but there hasn’t been any action in … Continue reading

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