Monthly Archives: April 2019

Update

Well it looks like a mess to me. I’d shift my target farther south to south central Oklahoma based off current conditions and CAM guidance. There’s currently storms trying to develop over the warm sector in SW and south central … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

I’m being lazy tonight and tomorrow’s setup looks very sloppy and something that needs to be sorted out as the day unfolds, so I’m not getting into much tonight. I am dragging ass after a late night yesterday. I was … Continue reading

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Tornado Threat this Evening for Kansas

I had to call an audible this morning and bail on my movie commitment with friends after I did my forecasting. Shear profiles this afternoon over southwest Kansas are definitely supportive of supercells, but it’s looked like moisture quality was … Continue reading

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Update

Well I didn’t die lol. Sorry for the unscheduled lack of posts. I went turkey hunting at our ranch and didn’t have a chance to get a forecast post and notice up that I wouldn’t be posting before I left … Continue reading

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4/24/19 Tornado Forecast

That’s my same forecast map from yesterday. I’m sticking to my guns. There’s a little bit of laziness at play here too, but mainly I see no need to draw new boxes in the same spot on an updated forecast … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

12Z GFS is trending back towards a faster solution, which is a bad thing for tornado potential. That scenario veers low level winds which kills your directional shear in the 850-500 layer and is less favorable for discrete supercells. I’ve … Continue reading

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Extended Range Tornado Outlook

Well I’m still feeling confident in yesterday’s forecast post that I think our next chase opportunity and the start of tornado season in the plains is looking like it will be Tuesday April 30th. No major changes to my previous … Continue reading

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Extended Forecast

Sorry for the hiatus if you’ve been checking in. Spent Thursday-Saturday afternoon turkey hunting. I was super tired after I got home so I crashed Saturday afternoon. Went out for some drinks Saturday night, wrestled with a mild hangover Sunday … Continue reading

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Update

I’m heading out of town turkey hunting here shortly. I glanced at the models last night and I tell you the future is bleak boys lol. There wasn’t anything good with the gfs so I jumped over to the cfs … Continue reading

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Today

I got out of town an hour ago. I was on calls for a good chunk of the day so I had no time to post. No changes to the going forecast though so see my last two forecast post … Continue reading

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