Category Archives: Uncategorized

Today

No time to post much. I would love to be in the Texas panhandle today, but I have stuff going on at work that I am certainly not at liberty to talk about on my blog lol and I had … Continue reading

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Today

Just got off work. I was too busy to look at models this morning so I’ll be going over data on the road. Initially we are heading to Independence, KS, but that may change slightly on the way there as … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

Long few days. I covered quite a few miles and a lot of hours were spent in the car. I haven’t totaled it up exactly, but in 4 of the last 5 days I covered around 2100 miles and spent … Continue reading

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Update

Quick satellite view map depicting where I think the best chance for violent long-track tornadoes will be this afternoon. Currently in Sayer, OK where the red star is on the map. The TORUS group, the Dominator 3 and numerous other … Continue reading

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Update

The latest HRRR is a scary picture for west central Oklahoma with two rounds of strong tornadic supercells tracking through there this afternoon. I am feeling real good about our initial target of Sayre, OK, which is righ on I40 … Continue reading

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Today

Got on the road at 7am this morning headed for Sayre, OK. We will forecast and move in our final target from there. So far the models seem to have a decent handle on precip and moisture quality. Morning storms … Continue reading

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Forecast Update

Jeez, tricky little forecast to figure out. It looks pretty definitive that it’s going to be sloppy tomorrow with an abundance of storms, but the question is whether or not it will be sloppy enough to prevent the tornado potential … Continue reading

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Tornado Forecast for May 20th

Above is my thoughts on the location and extent of the tornado threat for tomorrow. Convective evolution still makes forecasting the extent of the tornado threat tricky, but current thinking is that some discrete supercells and or a broken line … Continue reading

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Update

Sorry for no update. I got home from Nebraska, showered and then jumped back in the car to meet friends and headed out to Medicine Lodge to chase today so I haven’t done any forecasting. No tornadoes today but we … Continue reading

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Update

Driving home from Nebraska this morning. Doubt I chase today but I’ll take a look when I get home. Monday looks like a beast. You rarely see as potent of a combination of thermodynamics and shear as what the NAM … Continue reading

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