Category Archives: Uncategorized

Forecast Update

I really haven’t had time to look at much. I’ve been scrambling at work this morning trying to get things lined out so I can leave at noon. I did glance at moisture quickly and my guess is the NAM … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

4/09/19 Forecast

Well, after looking over the 00Z runs I really don’t see anything that makes me think different on the potential for tomorrow. I’ve been trying to take a close look at moisture return starting up and comparing it to the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Forecast Update

I’m winging it right now, so don’t take this too seriously. I need to go to the gym so I was just quickly glancing over data before I do. I’ll do my real forecasting later tonight. After glancing at the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

4/08/19 Forecast Post

I’ve been trying to forecast a bit as I watch the Texas Tech game with limited results. The 00Z NAM has taken a little turn for the worse. It’s not showing any sustained convection coming off the triple point or … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

4/07/19 Forecast

Right now it looks like it’s going to be a close call as to whether or not we get a surface based storm off the triple point or even just south of there along the dryline/cold front intersection as the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Update

I’ve been going over model data this morning and there is a glimmer of hope. The NAM has picked up on Wednesday’s setup and is showing dewpoints several degrees higher near the triple point relative to the GFS. If you … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

4/06/19 Extended Forecast

This is starting to get a little depressing. I was really hoping to be into chase season by now. I’m not going to get into today’s setup. I’m not chasing and the only place where I think there’s a chance … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

4/01/19 Forecast Post

Well, not a whole lot new to discuss with Wednesday’s setup. I could probably just copy and paste the forecast post from yesterday. If anything the setup actually looks a little worse. The NAM has backed off on dewpoints a … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

3/31/19 Forecast Post

SPC has highlighted a threat area for Day 4/Wednesday covering western Oklahoma and a small sliver of south central Kansas. I’ve been watching this setup with the GFS for a few days now and as expected this time of year, … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

3/29 Forecast Update

It doesn’t look good. That pretty much sums it up. The trend south has continued. The NAM has the triple point down in Texas now and that’s about the only place you get decent instability. Still there is quite a … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment